May 2022 Elections
The 2022 UK local elections will be held on Thursday 5th May.
Different councils go to the polls to select councillors in their area, in some cases all seats are being voted for, and in other areas, only 33% or 50% of seats are in play.
Punters will take a keen interest in the betting on offer in:
- England (60 District Councils)
- England (31 Metropolitan Councils)
- England (17 Unitary Authorities)
- Scotland (32 Local Authorities)
- Northern Ireland (Northern Ireland Assembly - 90 Seats)
- Wales (22 Local Authorities)
- London (All 32 Borough Councils)
- London (5 Mayoral Elections)
The best betting sites and leading betting exchanges will have odds and markets on the local elections across the country.
Most bookmakers have dedicated political sections on their index with the May elections expected to see plenty of bets placed, especially in those devolved countries and the Mayoral elections.
The Labour party will hope to make substantial gains in these elections and the results should give us some idea of how the country views Sir Keir Starmer.
For the Conservatives has Boris Johnson managed to quell the fury from his supporters after the Owen Paterson and BYOB scandals?
If the Torys do badly then Boris could be forced out by his backbenchers and exit as Prime Minister, BOJO exit betting is already available.
The Lib Dems were the beneficiaries of disgruntled Tories in the latest By-Elections, can they continue their upward curve?
In 2022 there are 7 Mayoral elections in the following areas.
All are held by Labour except Watford who is a Lib Dem and Croydon which will elect its first Mayor in 2022.
- Tower Hamlets
- South Yorkshire
Betting Exchanges already have markets on South Yorkshire where Labour are heavily odds on and Croydon where the odds indicate it could go to either Labour or Conservative.
Croydon Mayoral Election Betting
|Party||Betting Exchange 01/02/2022||Betting Exchange 01/03/2022||Betting Exchange 21/04/2022
|Andrew Pelling (Independent)||
South Yorkshire Mayoral Election
|Party||Betting Exchange 01/02/2022||Betting Exchange 01/03/2022
||Betting Exchange 21/04/2022
Political Betting Odds
The best betting sites are featuring more and more political betting markets on offer, the May 2022 elections are expected to continue this upward trend.The Best Betting Sites
The last Scottish Council Elections were in 2017, the results of those elections are below.
All the major parties will be looking to increase the seats won in 2017 and their share of the total vote.
In Scotland, all 32 local authorities will have an election based on a single transferable vote, resulting in each party getting a share of the vote.
Labour Party Pro UK
The Labour leader in Scotland reiterated that all their candidates would be pro-UK, thus giving voters a definitive choice at these elections.
In 2022 the parties will be looking to gain overall control of some councils, in 2017 no party had overall control of any council on the Scottish mainland.
For example, the SNP are the largest party in Aberdeen City with 19 seats but the other parties and independents have 26 seats, thus resulting in no overall control.
|Political Party||2017 Election - Seats Won||Percentage|
Scottish Conservatives Votes
The leader of the Scottish Conservatives is Douglas Ross, he has called for Boris Johnson to resign after the Downing Street party was revealed. This discord in the Tory ranks will have massively damaged their chances at these elections.
|Council||Largest Party in 2017|
|Angus||SNP + Independents|
|Argyll and Bute||SNP|
|Dumfries and Galloway||Conservative|
|City of Edinburgh||SNP|
|Na h-Eileanan Siar||Independent|
|North Ayrshire||Labour + SNP|
|Perth and Kinross||Conservative|
|Stirling||Conservative + SNP|
The last local elections in Wales were in 2017 with the results below
There are 22 local councils in Wales and all seats will be contested.
The Labour Party will look to strengthen their grip by taking power in the councils where there is no overall control (11 of the 22), if they can do that it will have been a good election for Sir Keir Starmer and Mark Drakeford.
Some seats will have new boundaries which will affect results.
The Conservatives may be squeezed even further by their rivals in Wales.
|Political Party||2017 Election - Seats Won||Percentage|
|Council||Largest Party In 2017|
|Isle of Anglesey||Plaid Cymru|
|Neath Port Talbot||Labour|
|Rhondda Cynon Taff||Labour|
|Vale of Glamorgan||Conservative|
The Northern Ireland Assembly election sees the big dogs of Northern Ireland politics going head to head with the DUP and Sinn Fein virtually neck and neck.
90 seats make up the assembly with the two parties holding just over 60% of all seats.
Northern Ireland Assembly Make Up
Since the 2017 election, the Democratic Unionists have lost 2 seats and Sinn Fein 1 making them level pegging at 26 apiece they go into this 2022 election.
Sinn Fein looks most likely to be the largest party on May 6th and be in a position to take the First Minister role, although the smaller parties could make significant inroads with voters who are weary of the backwards and forwards of the DUP and Sinn Fein.
|Party||2017 Election - Seats Won|
London Boroughs - All Seats
All the 32 councils in London will hold elections in May.
The bookmakers have odds on those seats that are high profile or are close calls.
The Labour party are looking to take overall control of the council for the first time ever.
The Conservatives are fighting to hang on to the council, the odds indicate a close-run contest that could go either way.
|Party||Betting Odds||Percentage Chance|
|No Overall Control||12/1||7.69%|
- Barking and Dagenham
- Hammersmith and Fulham
- Kensington and Chelsea
- Kingston upon Thames
- Richmond upon Thames
- Tower Hamlets
- Waltham Forest
Metropolitan District - Birmingham - All Seats
The West Midlands city will hold a full election for all 101 seats on the council.
The 2018 election result was as follows.
|Party||Birmingham Councillors Elected||Vote Percentage|
District Councils - A Third Of Seats
There are 54 district councils holding elections, with a third of seats being voted for.
- Amber Valley
- Basingstoke and Deane
- Cannock Chase
- Castle Point
- Epping Forest
- Mole Valley
- North Hertfordshire
- Reigate and Banstead
- South Lakeland
- St Albans
- Three Rivers
- Tunbridge Wells
- Welwyn Hatfield
- West Lancashire
- West Oxfordshire
District Councils -50% of Seats
50% of the council's seats will be voted for.
- Nuneaton and Bedworth
District Councils - All Seats
These 4 district councils hold full elections with all seats up for grabs.
- South Cambridgeshire
Metropolitan District Councils - A Third Of Seats
There are 33 metropolitan district councils
- Newcastle Upon Tyne
- North Tyneside
- South Tyneside
- St Helens
Unitary Authorities - A Third Of Seats
There are 17 unitary authorities holding elections for a third of the seats on their councils.
- Blackburn with Darwen
- Milton Keynes
- North East Lincolnshire
Betting On The May Elections
There is nothing complicated about political betting, it is a betting market just like a list of horses for the Grand National, although in this case, it will be for candidates and parties.
You simply need to go to your favourite betting app and head to the political betting section in the menu, then select the constituency or country you are interested in.
The bigger betting sites will have odds available on selected constituencies as will the betting exchanges of Betfair and Smarkets.
The Mayoral elections and Scotland and Northern Ireland contests are expected to be the most popular when it comes to placing bets.